Texas Democrats are betting history will repeat itself. Odds are in their favor. 

In Texas, gamblers and politicians alike take Kenny Rogers’ advice to heart: “you’ve got to know when to walk away, know when to run.”  

Nearly 60 Democratic state legislators fled the Lone Star state this week to block Republicans from re-drawing the state’s Congressional districts.  

This isn’t just a publicity stunt. It’s a legitimate tactic that Republicans and Democrats have both used across the country, including many times in Texas. And it has a great track record.  

What Is Breaking Quorum? 

The tactic Texas Democrats are using is called “breaking quorum.”  

“Quorum” is the minimum number of legislators who need to be present for the legislature to conduct official business. In Texas, that number is two-thirds of the chamber – 100 out of 150 House members. If 51 members choose to “break quorum” by not showing up to work, then the legislature can’t vote on any bills.  

Does Breaking Quorum Work? 

Surprisingly often.  

Since 2000, there have been 12 major walkouts in state legislatures where lawmakers fled their state to block a vote. 

• In 6 cases, the walkouts worked: the bill was scrapped, the clock ran out, or the majority gave up. 

• In 2 more, the result was a negotiated compromise that softened or delayed the legislation. 

Only 4 walkouts truly failed to get the minority party what they wanted. And even in those cases, the quorum breakers had nothing to lose: there were no lasting political consequences. If anything, walkouts draw national media attention, rally the base, and boost fundraising. It’s a win-win. 

That’s the calculation Texas Democrats are making now: worst case, they lose the vote they were going to lose anyway. Best case, they force Republicans back to the table or run out the clock. 

And history says that’s well within reach.